Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Jan 24
9:45 Jan Markit Services PMI 46.6 45.0 44.7
9:45 Jan Markit Composite PMI 46.6 47.0 45.0
9:45 Jan Markit Manuf. PMI 46.8 46.0 46.2
Thursday, Jan 26
8:30 Dec Durable goods (%) 5.6 2.5 -2.1
8:30 Q4 GDP Advance (%) 2.9 2.6 3.2
8:30 Dec Core CapEx (%) -0.2 -0.2 0.1
10:00 Dec New Home Sales (ml) 0.616 0.617 0.640
10:00 Dec New Home Sales (%) (%) 2.3 -4.7 5.8
Friday, Jan 27
8:30 Dec Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 4.4 4.4 4.7
8:30 Dec Outlays (consumer spending) (%) -0.2 -0.1 0.1
10:00 Jan Consumer Sentiment (ip) 64.9 64.6 64.6
10:00 Jan Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) 2.9 3.0
10:00 Jan Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) 3.9 4.0
10:00 Dec Pending Home Sales (%) 2.5 -0.9 -4.0
10:00 Dec Pending Sales Index 76.9 73.9
Tuesday, Jan 31
8:30 Q4 Employment costs (%) 1.0 1.1 1.2
9:00 Nov CaseShiller Home Prices m/m (%) -0.5 -0.6 -0.5
9:00 Nov Case Shiller Home Prices-20 y/y (% ) 6.8 6.8 8.6
9:00 Nov FHFA Home Price Index m/m (%) -0.1 0.0
9:00 Nov FHFA Home Prices y/y (%) 8.2 9.8
9:45 Jan Chicago PMI 44.3 45.0 44.9
10:00 Jan Consumer confidence 107.1 109.0 108.3
Wednesday, Feb 01
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 184.3 205.4
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 466.6 502.3
8:15 Jan ADP jobs (k) 106 178 235
10:00 Dec Construction spending (%) -0.4 0.0 0.2
10:00 Jan ISM Mfg Prices Paid 44.5 39.5 39.4
10:00 Jan ISM Manufacturing PMI 47.4 48.0 48.4
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 4.140 0.376 0.533
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 2.576 1.442 1.763
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 4.500 - 4.750 4.625 4.375
Thursday, Feb 02
7:30 Jan Challenger layoffs (k) 102.943 43.651
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 183 200 186
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 1.655 1.677 1.675
8:30 Q4 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 1.1 1.5 2.4
8:30 Q4 Productivity Preliminary (%) 3.0 2.4 0.8
10:00 Dec Factory orders mm (%) 1.8 2.2 -1.8
Friday, Feb 03
8:30 Jan Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.7 34.3 34.3
8:30 Jan Average earnings mm (%) 0.3 0.3 0.3
8:30 Jan Private Payrolls (k) 443 190 220
8:30 Jan Non-farm payrolls (k) 517 185 223
8:30 Jan Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.4 3.6 3.5
10:00 Jan ISM Biz Activity 60.4 54.5 54.7
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg PMI 55.2 50.4 49.6
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Feb 07
8:30 Dec Trade Gap (bl) -68.5 -61.5
15:00 Dec Consumer credit (bl) 24.00 27.96
Wednesday, Feb 08
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 184.3
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 466.6
10:00 Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.1 0.1
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 0.376 4.140
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 1.442 2.576
Thursday, Feb 09
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 1.677 1.655
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 194 183
Friday, Feb 10
10:00 Feb 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 3.9
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment 64.9 64.9
10:00 Feb 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.9
14:00 Jan Federal budget, $ (bl) -70.00 -85.00
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Feb 14
8:30 Jan m/m Headline CPI (%) 0.0 -0.1
8:30 Jan y/y Headline CPI (%) 6.5 6.5
8:30 Jan y/y CORE CPI (%) 5.7 5.7
8:30 Jan m/m CORE CPI (%) 0.3 0.3
Wednesday, Feb 15
8:30 Feb NY Fed Manufacturing -9.00 -32.90
8:30 Jan Retail Sales (%) -0.8 -1.1
9:15 Jan Industrial Production (%) -0.1 -0.7
10:00 Dec Business Inventories (% ) 0.4 0.4
10:00 Feb NAHB housing market indx 31 35
Thursday, Feb 16
8:30 Jan Building permits: number (ml) 1.370 1.337
8:30 Jan Build permits: change mm (%) -1.0
8:30 Jan Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.359 1.382
8:30 Jan House starts mm: change (%) -1.4
8:30 Feb Philly Fed Business Index -11.0 -8.9
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices YY (%) 5.7 5.5
8:30 Jan Producer Prices (%) -0.1 -0.5
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.1 0.1
Friday, Feb 17
8:30 Jan Export prices mm (%) -0.5 -2.6
8:30 Jan Import prices mm (%) -0.9 0.4
10:00 Jan Leading index chg mm (%) -0.7 -1.0

Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant   |   Low   |   Moderate   |   Important   |   Very Important