Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Oct 30
8:30 Sep Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) +1.0 0.8 0.1
8:30 Sep PCE (y/y) (%) +1.6 1.4
8:30 Sep Core PCE (m/m) (%) +0.1 0.1 0.1
8:30 Sep Core PCE (y/y) (%) +1.3 1.3
8:30 Sep Personal Income (%) +0.4 0.4 0.2
Tuesday, Oct 31
8:30 Q3 Employment costs (%) 0.7 0.7 0.5
8:30 Q3 Employment Benefits qq (%) 0.8 0.6
8:30 Q3 Employment Wages qq (%) 0.7 0.5
9:00 Aug CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) +5.9 6.0 5.8
9:00 Aug CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) +0.4 0.5 0.7
9:00 Aug CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) +0.5 0.3 0.3
9:45 Oct Chicago PMI 66.2 61.0 65.2
10:00 Oct Consumer confidence 125.9 121.0 119.8
Wednesday, Nov 01
8:15 Oct ADP National Employment (k) 235 200 135
10:00 Oct ISM Manufacturing PMI 58.7 59.5 60.8
10:00 Sep Construction spending (%) +0.3 0.0 0.5
10:00 Oct ISM Mfg Prices Paid 68.5 68.0 71.5
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.000 - 1.250 1.125 1.125
15:30 Oct All car sales (ml) 6.56 6.81
15:30 Oct Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.49 9.10 9.69
15:30 Oct Domestic car sales (ml) 4.75 4.70 4.95
15:30 Oct All truck sales (ml) 11.52 11.76
15:30 Oct Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 18.09 17.50 18.57
Thursday, Nov 02
7:30 Oct Challenger layoffs (k) 29.831 32.346
8:30 Q3 Productivity Preliminary (%) 3.0 2.4 1.5
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 0.5 0.5 0.2
9:45 Oct ISM-New York index 749.4 748.6
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.000 - 1.250 1.125 1.125
Friday, Nov 03
8:30 Oct Average earnings mm (%) 0.0 0.2 0.5
8:30 Oct Private Payrolls (k) 252 303 -40
8:30 Oct Manufacturing payrolls (k) 24 15 -1
8:30 Oct Non-farm payrolls (k) 261 310 -33
8:30 Oct Unemployment rate mm (%) 4.1 4.2 4.2
8:30 Oct Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.4 34.4
8:30 Sep International trade mm $ (bl) -43.5 -43.2 -42.4
10:00 Sep Factory ex-transp mm (% ) 0.7 0.4
10:00 Sep Durables ex-def, R mm (%) 1.9 2.0
10:00 Sep Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) 0.7 0.7
10:00 Sep Durable goods, R mm (%) 2.0 2.2
10:00 Sep Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) 1.7 1.3
10:00 Oct ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 62.2 61.0 61.3
10:00 Oct ISM N-Mfg PMI 60.1 58.5 59.8
10:00 Sep Factory orders mm (%) 1.4 1.3 1.2
Monday, Nov 06
10:00 Oct Employment Trends 135.6 132.7
Tuesday, Nov 07
11:30 52-Week Bill Auction (bl) 50
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 24
15:00 Sep Consumer credit (bl) 20.83 18.00 13.06
Wednesday, Nov 08
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1290.8 1297.0
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.18 4.22
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 227.2 226.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 389.7 389.8
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -3.359 -1.372 -0.320
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -3.312 -1.938 -4.020
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 2.237 -2.876 -2.435
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 23
Thursday, Nov 09
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 239 234 229
10:00 Sep Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.3 0.3 0.3
10:00 Sep Wholesale sales mm (%) 1.3 0.9 1.7
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 15
Friday, Nov 10
10:00 Nov 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.5
10:00 Nov 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.6 2.4
10:00 Nov Consumer Sentiment 97.8 100.7 100.7
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Nov 13
14:00 Oct Federal budget, $ (bl) -63.00 -62.00 8.00
Tuesday, Nov 14
8:30 Oct Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.4 0.2 0.4
8:30 Oct Core Producer Prices YY (%) 2.4 2.3 2.2
8:30 Oct Producer Prices (%) 0.4 0.1 0.4
Wednesday, Nov 15
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 228.2 227.2
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 401.7 389.7
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1371.6 1290.8
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.18 4.18
8:30 Oct Real weekly earnings mm (%) -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
8:30 Oct CPI mm, sa (%) 0.1 0.1 0.5
8:30 Oct Retail Sales (%) 0.2 0.0 1.6
8:30 Oct Core CPI Year/Year (%) 1.8 1.7 1.7
8:30 Oct CPI yy, nsa (%) 2.0 2.0 2.2
8:30 Oct Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) 0.2 0.2 0.1
8:30 Nov NY Fed Manufacturing 19.40 26.00 30.20
10:00 Sep Business Inventories (% ) 0.0 0.0 0.7
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 0.894 -0.919 -3.312
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -3.312
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -3.359
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -0.799 -1.269 -3.359
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.854 -2.200 2.237
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 2.237
Thursday, Nov 16
8:30 Oct Import prices mm (%) 0.2 0.4 0.7
8:30 Nov Philly Fed Business Index 22.7 25.0 27.9
8:30 Oct Export prices mm (%) 0.0 0.4 0.8
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 249 235 239
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 234 239
9:15 Oct Capacity Utilization (%) 77.0 76.3 76.0
9:15 Oct Industrial Production (%) 0.9 0.5 0.3
10:00 Nov NAHB housing market indx 70 68 68
13:00 10-yr TIPS Auction (bl) 11
Friday, Nov 17
8:30 Oct House starts mm: change (%) 13.7 -4.7
8:30 Oct Building permits: number (ml) 1.297 1.247 1.225
8:30 Oct Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.290 1.185 1.127
8:30 Oct Build permits: change mm (%) 5.9 -3.7
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Nov 20
10:00 Oct Leading index chg mm (%) 0.6 -0.2
Tuesday, Nov 21
10:00 Oct Existing home sales (ml) 5.43 5.39
10:00 Oct Exist. home sales % chg (%) 0.7 0.7
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 13
Wednesday, Nov 22
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 401.7
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 228.2
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 227.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.18
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1371.6
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1371.6
8:30 Oct Durable goods (%) 0.3 2.0
8:30 Oct Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.6 1.7
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 240 249
10:00 Nov U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) 2.5
10:00 Nov U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 98.0 97.8
10:00 Nov U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) 2.6
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 0.894
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -0.799
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -0.799
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.854

Event Importance:
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