Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Nov 26
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 2.1 2.1 2.0
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.4 0.3 -0.2
9:00 Sep Monthly Home Price yy (%) 5.1 4.6
9:00 Sep Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.6 0.2
10:00 Oct New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.733 0.709 0.701
10:00 Nov Consumer confidence 125.5 127.0 125.9
10:00 Oct New home sales chg mm (%) -0.7 1.1 -0.7
Wednesday, Nov 27
8:30 Q3 GDP Prelim (%) 2.1 1.9 1.9
8:30 Oct Durable goods (%) 0.6 -0.8 -1.2
8:30 Oct Nondefense ex-air (%) 1.2 -0.3 -0.6
9:45 Nov Chicago PMI 46.3 47.0 43.2
10:00 Oct Pending Sales Index 106.7 108.7
10:00 Oct Pending Home Sales (%) -1.7 0.8 1.5
Monday, Dec 02
10:00 Nov ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.1 49.2 48.3
10:00 Nov ISM Mfg Prices Paid 46.7 47.0 45.5
10:00 Oct Construction spending (%) -0.8 0.4 0.5
Tuesday, Dec 03
9:45 Nov ISM-New York index 874.5 874.3
Wednesday, Dec 04
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 512.4 564.1
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 269.4 267.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1925.7 2282.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.97 3.97
8:15 Nov ADP National Employment (k) 67 140 125
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 51.6 56.1 57.0
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg PMI 53.9 54.5 54.7
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -4.856 -1.734 1.572
Thursday, Dec 05
7:30 Nov Challenger layoffs (k) 44.569 50.275
8:30 Oct International trade mm $ (bl) -47.2 -48.7 -52.5
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 203 211 213
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.693 1.650 1.640
10:00 Oct Factory orders mm (%) 0.3 0.3 -0.6
Friday, Dec 06
8:30 Nov Average earnings mm (%) +0.2 0.3 0.2
8:30 Nov Private Payrolls (k) +254 175 131
8:30 Nov Manufacturing payrolls (k) +54 38 -36
8:30 Nov Non-farm payrolls (k) +266 180 128
8:30 Nov Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.4 34.4
8:30 Nov Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.5 3.6 3.6
10:00 Dec 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.4 2.5
10:00 Dec Consumer Sentiment 99.2 97.0 96.8
10:00 Oct Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.1 0.2 0.2
10:00 Dec 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.3 2.5
10:00 Oct Wholesale sales mm (%) -0.7 0.1 0.0
11:00 2-Yr Note Auction (bl)
15:00 Oct Consumer credit (bl) +18.91 16.00 9.51
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 09
10:00 Nov Employment Trends 110.1
Tuesday, Dec 10
8:30 Q3 Productivity Revised (%) 2.3 -0.1 -0.3
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Revised (%) 2.4 3.4 3.6
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 24
Wednesday, Dec 11
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 512.4
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 269.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1925.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.97
8:30 Nov Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.2 0.4
8:30 Nov Core CPI (Annual) (%) 2.3 2.3
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.734 -4.856
14:00 Nov Federal budget, $ (bl) -195.00 -134.00
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.625 1.625
Thursday, Dec 12
8:30 Nov Producer Prices (%) 0.2 0.4
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.2 0.3
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices YY (%) 1.7 1.6
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 212 203
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.650 1.693
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 16
Friday, Dec 13
8:30 Nov Import prices mm (%) 0.2 -0.5
8:30 Nov Retail Sales (%) 0.4 0.3
8:30 Nov Export prices mm (%) 0.1 -0.1
10:00 Oct Business Inventories (% ) 0.2 0.0
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 16
8:30 Dec NY Fed Manufacturing 4.50 2.90
9:45 Dec PMI-Composite (source:Markit) 52.0
9:45 Dec PMI-Services (Markit) 51.0 51.6
9:45 Dec PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) 51.5 52.6
10:00 Dec NAHB housing market indx 70 70
Tuesday, Dec 17
8:30 Nov Building permits: number (ml) 1.398 1.461
8:30 Nov Build permits: change mm (%) 5.0
8:30 Nov House starts mm: change (%) 3.8
8:30 Nov Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.320 1.314
9:15 Nov Capacity Utilization (%) 77.0 76.7
9:15 Nov Industrial Production (%) 0.8 -0.8
Thursday, Dec 19
8:30 Dec Philly Fed Business Index 8.5 10.4
10:00 Nov Existing home sales (ml) 5.47 5.46
10:00 Nov Exist. home sales % chg (%) 1.4 1.9
10:00 Nov Leading index chg mm (%) 0.2 -0.1
Friday, Dec 20
8:30 Q3 GDP Final (%) 2.1 2.1
10:00 Dec Consumer Sentiment (ip) 96.8 99.2
10:00 Dec Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.4
10:00 Dec Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.3
10:00 Nov Personal Income (%) 0.3 0.0
10:00 Nov Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.5 0.3
10:00 Nov PCE (y/y) (%) 1.3
10:00 Nov Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.1 0.1
10:00 Nov Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.7 1.6

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