Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Feb 12
14:00 Jan Federal budget, $ (bl) 49.0 51.00 -23.00
Wednesday, Feb 14
8:30 Jan Retail Sales (%) -0.3 0.2 0.4
8:30 Jan Real weekly earnings mm (%) -0.8 -0.3 0.2
8:30 Jan CPI mm, sa (%) +0.5 0.3 0.1
8:30 Jan Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.3 0.2 0.3
8:30 Jan Core CPI Year/Year (%) +1.8 1.7 1.8
8:30 Jan CPI yy, nsa (%) +2.1 1.9 2.1
10:00 Dec Business Inventories (% ) +0.4 0.3 0.4
Thursday, Feb 15
8:30 Jan Producer Prices (%) +0.4 0.4 -0.1
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices MM (%) +0.4 0.2 -0.1
8:30 Feb Philly Fed Business Index 25.8 21.1 22.2
8:30 Feb NY Fed Manufacturing 13.1 17.50 17.70
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.2 2.1 2.3
9:15 Jan Capacity Utilization (%) 77.5 78.0 77.9
9:15 Jan Industrial Production (%) -0.1 0.2 0.9
10:00 Feb NAHB housing market indx 72 72 72
Friday, Feb 16
8:30 Jan Export prices mm (%) +0.8 0.3 -0.1
8:30 Jan Import prices mm (%) +1.0 0.6 0.1
8:30 Jan House starts mm: change (%) +9.7 -8.2
8:30 Jan Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.326 1.234 1.192
8:30 Jan Building permits: number (ml) 1.396 1.300 1.300
8:30 Jan Build permits: change mm (%) +7.4 -0.2
10:00 Feb 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.5
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment 99.9 95.5 95.7
10:00 Feb 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.7 2.7
Tuesday, Feb 20
13:00 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 28
Wednesday, Feb 21
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 225.5 240.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1183.1 1274.0
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 372.9 399.4
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.64 4.57
10:00 Jan Existing home sales (ml) 5.38 5.60 5.57
10:00 Jan Exist. home sales % chg (%) -3.2 0.9 -3.6
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 15
13:00 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 35
Thursday, Feb 22
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 222 229 230
10:00 Jan Leading index chg mm (%) 1.0 0.7 0.6
11:00 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 0.261 -0.283 3.599
11:00 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -2.422 -1.460 -0.459
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.616 1.795 1.841
13:00 7-Yr Note Auction (bl) 29
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Feb 26
10:00 Jan New home sales chg mm (%) 3.2 -9.3
10:00 Jan New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.650 0.625
10:00 Jan New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.645 0.625
Tuesday, Feb 27
8:30 Jan Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.5 -0.6
8:30 Jan Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.5 -0.6
8:30 Jan Durable goods (%) -2.5 2.8
8:30 Jan Durable goods (%) -2.2 2.8
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) 0.2
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 6.3 6.4
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.5
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.6 0.7
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.4
10:00 Feb Consumer confidence 126.3 125.4
Wednesday, Feb 28
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 225.5
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 372.9
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1183.1
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.64
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.64
8:30 Q4 GDP Prelim (%) 2.5 2.6
9:45 Feb Chicago PMI 64.6 65.7
10:00 Jan Pending Home Sales (%) 0.4 0.5
10:00 Jan Pending Sales Index 110.1
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.795 -1.616
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -2.422
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 0.261
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -0.283 3.599
Thursday, Mar 01
8:30 Jan PCE (y/y) (%) 1.7
8:30 Jan Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.2 0.4
8:30 Jan Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.3 0.2
8:30 Jan Core PCE (y/y) (%) 1.5 1.5
8:30 Jan Personal Income (%) 0.3 0.4
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 229 222
10:00 Feb ISM Manufacturing PMI 58.7 59.1
10:00 Feb ISM Mfg Prices Paid 70.5 72.7
10:00 Jan Construction spending (%) 0.3 0.7
15:30 Feb All car sales (ml) 5.77
15:30 Feb All truck sales (ml) 11.36
15:30 Feb Domestic car sales (ml) 4.30 4.11
15:30 Feb Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.00 9.18
15:30 Feb Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 17.20 17.12
Friday, Mar 02
8:45 Feb ISM-New York index 767.9
10:00 Feb U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%)
10:00 Feb U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 99.5 94.4
10:00 Feb U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%)
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Mar 05
10:00 Feb ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 57.2 59.8
10:00 Feb ISM N-Mfg PMI 59.9 59.9
Tuesday, Mar 06
10:00 Jan Durable goods, R mm (%) 2.9
10:00 Jan Factory ex-transp mm (% ) 0.7
10:00 Jan Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) -0.3
10:00 Jan Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) 0.6
10:00 Jan Durables ex-def, R mm (%) 2.2
10:00 Jan Factory orders mm (%) 1.5 1.7
Wednesday, Mar 07
8:15 Feb ADP National Employment (k) 198 234
8:30 Q4 Labor Costs Revised (%) 0.2 2.0
8:30 Q4 Productivity Revised (%) 3.3 -0.1
8:30 Jan International trade mm $ (bl) -52.0 -53.1
15:00 Jan Consumer credit (bl) 17.30 18.45
Thursday, Mar 08
7:30 Feb Challenger layoffs (k) 44.653
Friday, Mar 09
8:30 Feb Average earnings mm (%) 0.3 0.3
8:30 Feb Private Payrolls (k) 178 196
8:30 Feb Manufacturing payrolls (k) 15 15
8:30 Feb Non-farm payrolls (k) 183 200
8:30 Feb Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.3
8:30 Feb Unemployment rate mm (%) 4.0 4.1
10:00 Jan Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.2 0.2
10:00 Jan Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.6 1.2

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