Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Jan 04
10:00 Nov Construction spending (%) 0.9 1.0 1.3
Tuesday, Jan 05
9:45 Dec ISM-New York index 817.6 811.9
10:00 Dec ISM Mfg Prices Paid 77.6 65.7 65.4
10:00 Dec ISM Manufacturing PMI 60.7 56.6 57.5
Wednesday, Jan 06
8:15 Dec ADP National Employment (k) -123 88 307
10:00 Nov Factory orders mm (%) 1.0 0.7 1.0
Thursday, Jan 07
7:30 Dec Challenger layoffs (k) 77.030 64.797
8:30 Nov International trade mm $ (bl) -68.1 -65.2 -63.1
10:00 Dec ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 59.4 55.0 58.0
10:00 Dec ISM N-Mfg PMI 57.2 54.6 55.9
Friday, Jan 08
8:30 Dec Average earnings mm (%) 0.8 0.2 0.3
8:30 Dec Private Payrolls (k) -95 98 344
8:30 Dec Non-farm payrolls (k) -140 71 245
8:30 Dec Manufacturing payrolls (k) 38 20 27
8:30 Dec Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.7 34.8 34.8
8:30 Dec Unemployment rate mm (%) 6.7 6.8 6.7
10:00 Nov Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.2 0.8 1.8
10:00 Nov Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.0 -0.1 -0.1
15:00 Nov Consumer credit (bl) 15.27 9.00 7.23
Monday, Jan 11
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 58
Tuesday, Jan 12
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 38
Wednesday, Jan 13
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 338.9 313.8
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 4706.3 3917.6
8:30 Dec Core CPI (Annual) (%) 1.6 1.6 1.6
8:30 Dec Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.4 0.4 0.2
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -3.247 -2.266 -8.010
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 24
14:00 Dec Federal budget, $ (bl) -144 -147.00 -145.00
Thursday, Jan 14
8:30 Dec Import prices mm (%) 0.9 0.7 0.1
8:30 Dec Export prices mm (%) 1.1 0.4 0.6
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 5.271 5.061 5.072
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 965 868 787
Friday, Jan 15
8:30 Dec Core Producer Prices YY (%) 1.2 1.3 1.4
8:30 Dec Producer Prices (%) 0.3 0.4 0.1
8:30 Dec Retail Sales (%) -0.7 0.0 -1.1
8:30 Dec Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.1 0.2 0.1
8:30 Jan NY Fed Manufacturing +3.5 6.00 4.90
9:15 Dec Industrial Production (%) 1.6 0.5 0.4
10:00 Jan 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.7 2.5
10:00 Jan 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 3.0 2.5
10:00 Jan Consumer Sentiment 79.2 80.0 80.7
10:00 Nov Business Inventories (% ) +0.5 0.5 0.7
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Jan 20
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 338.9
7:00 w/e MBA Refi Index 4706.3
10:00 Jan NAHB housing market indx 86 86
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -2.266 -3.247
Thursday, Jan 21
4:00 Jan Philly Fed Business Index 12.0 11.1
8:30 Dec House starts mm: change (%) 1.2
8:30 Dec Build permits: change mm (%) 5.9
8:30 Dec Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.560 1.547
8:30 Dec Building permits: number (ml) 1.604 1.635
8:30 w/e Continued Claims (ml) 5.061 5.271
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 868 965
Friday, Jan 22
9:45 Jan PMI-Composite (source:Markit) 55.3
9:45 Jan PMI-Services (Markit) 53.5 54.8
9:45 Jan PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) 56.5 57.1
10:00 Dec Existing home sales (ml) 6.54 6.69
10:00 Dec Exist. home sales % chg (%) -1.4 -2.5
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Jan 26
9:00 Nov CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 6.9 7.9
9:00 Nov CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 1.0 1.6
9:00 Nov Monthly Home Price yy (%) 10.2
9:00 Nov Monthly Home Price mm (%) 1.5
10:00 Jan Consumer confidence 90.5 88.6
Wednesday, Jan 27
8:30 Dec Core CapEx (%) 0.6 0.5
8:30 Dec Durable goods (%) 0.8 1.0
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 0.125
Thursday, Jan 28
8:30 Q4 GDP Advance (%) 4.3 33.4
10:00 Dec New Home Sales (%) (%) -0.3 -11.0
10:00 Dec Leading index chg mm (%) 0.5 0.6
10:00 Dec New Home Sales (ml) 0.900 0.841
Friday, Jan 29
8:30 Q4 Employment costs (%) 0.5 0.5
8:30 Dec Outlays (consumer spending) (%) -0.5 -0.4
8:30 Dec Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.5 1.4
9:45 Jan Chicago PMI 57.0 59.5
10:00 Dec Pending Sales Index 125.7
10:00 Jan Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%) 3.0
10:00 Jan Consumer Sentiment (ip) 81.3 79.2
10:00 Jan Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%) 2.7
10:00 Dec Pending Home Sales (%) 0.0 -2.6

Event Importance:
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