Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Oct 29
8:30 Sep PCE (y/y) (%) +2.0 2.2
8:30 Sep Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) +0.4 0.4 0.3
8:30 Sep Core PCE (m/m) (%) +0.2 0.1 0.0
8:30 Sep Core PCE (y/y) (%) +2.0 2.0 2.0
8:30 Sep Personal Income (%) +0.2 0.3 0.3
Tuesday, Oct 30
9:00 Aug CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) +5.5 5.8 5.9
9:00 Aug CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) +0.1 0.1 0.1
9:00 Aug CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) +0.0 0.4 0.3
10:00 Oct Consumer confidence 137.9 136.0 138.4
Wednesday, Oct 31
8:15 Oct ADP National Employment (k) 227 189 230
8:30 Q3 Employment costs (%) 0.8 0.7 0.6
8:30 Q3 Employment Wages qq (%) 0.9 0.5
8:30 Q3 Employment Benefits qq (%) 0.4 0.9
9:45 Oct Chicago PMI 58.4 60.0 60.4
Thursday, Nov 01
7:30 Oct Challenger layoffs (k) 75.644 55.285
8:30 Q3 Productivity Preliminary (%) 2.2 2.2 2.9
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 1.2 1.0 -1.0
10:00 Oct ISM Manufacturing PMI 57.7 59.0 59.8
10:00 Oct ISM Mfg Prices Paid 71.6 65.0 66.9
10:00 Sep Construction spending (%) 0.0 0.1 0.1
15:30 Oct Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 17.57 17.10 17.44
15:30 Oct All truck sales (ml) 11.90 12.03
15:30 Oct All car sales (ml) 5.67 5.41
15:30 Oct Domestic car sales (ml) 4.17 3.91 3.91
15:30 Oct Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.50 9.41 9.63
Friday, Nov 02
8:30 Oct Average earnings mm (%) 0.2 0.2 0.3
8:30 Oct Private Payrolls (k) 246 183 121
8:30 Oct Manufacturing payrolls (k) 32 15 18
8:30 Oct Non-farm payrolls (k) 250 190 134
8:30 Oct Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.5 34.5 34.5
8:30 Oct Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.7 3.7 3.7
8:30 Sep International trade mm $ (bl) -54.0 -53.6 -53.2
9:45 Oct ISM-New York index 831.9 822.0
10:00 Sep Factory ex-transp mm (% ) 0.4 0.1
10:00 Sep Durable goods, R mm (%) 0.7 0.8
10:00 Sep Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) 0.0 0.1
10:00 Sep Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) -0.1 -0.1
10:00 Sep Durables ex-def, R mm (%) -0.7 -0.6
10:00 Sep Factory orders mm (%) 0.7 0.5 2.3
Monday, Nov 05
10:00 Oct ISM N-Mfg PMI 60.3 59.3 61.6
10:00 Oct Employment Trends 110.7 110.8
10:00 Oct ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 62.5 64.5 65.2
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 37
Tuesday, Nov 06
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 27
Wednesday, Nov 07
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 861.8 884.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 5.15 5.11
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 316.2 329.5
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 213.6 224.9
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 1.852 -2.276 -3.161
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -3.465 -2.629 -4.054
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 5.783 2.433 3.217
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 19
15:00 Sep Consumer credit (bl) 10.92 16.50 20.08
Thursday, Nov 08
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 214 215 214
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 2.000 - 2.250 2.125 2.125
Friday, Nov 09
8:30 Oct Producer Prices (%) 0.6 0.2 0.2
8:30 Oct Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.5 0.2 0.2
8:30 Oct Core Producer Prices YY (%) 2.6 2.3 2.5
10:00 Sep Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.2 0.5 0.8
10:00 Sep Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.4 0.3 0.3
10:00 Nov Consumer Sentiment 98.3 98.0 98.6
10:00 Nov 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.8 2.9
10:00 Nov 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.6 2.4
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Nov 13
14:00 Oct Federal budget, $ (bl) -98.00 119.00
Wednesday, Nov 14
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 5.15
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 213.6
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 861.8
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 316.2
8:30 Oct Core CPI Year/Year (%) 2.2 2.2
8:30 Oct CPI mm, sa (%) 0.3 0.1
8:30 Oct Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) 0.2 0.1
8:30 Oct CPI yy, nsa (%) 2.5 2.3
8:30 Oct Real weekly earnings mm (%) 0.2 0.2
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -2.629 -3.465
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -2.276 1.852
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 2.433 5.783
Thursday, Nov 15
8:30 Oct Retail Sales (%) 0.5 0.1
8:30 Oct Export prices mm (%) 0.1 0.0
8:30 Oct Import prices mm (%) 0.1 0.5
8:30 Nov Philly Fed Business Index 20.2 22.2
8:30 Nov NY Fed Manufacturing 20.00 21.10
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 215 214
10:00 Sep Business Inventories (% ) 0.3 0.5
Friday, Nov 16
9:15 Oct Capacity Utilization (%) 78.2 78.1
9:15 Oct Industrial Production (%) 0.2 0.3
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Nov 19
10:00 Nov NAHB housing market indx 68 68
Tuesday, Nov 20
8:30 Oct Build permits: change mm (%) 1.7
8:30 Oct Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.235 1.201
8:30 Oct House starts mm: change (%) -5.3
8:30 Oct Building permits: number (ml) 1.260 1.270
Wednesday, Nov 21
8:30 Oct Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.5 -0.1
8:30 Oct Durable goods (%) -1.0 0.7
10:00 Oct Existing home sales (ml) 5.25 5.15
10:00 Oct Leading index chg mm (%) 0.3 0.5
10:00 Nov U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 99.1 98.3
10:00 Nov U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) 2.8
10:00 Nov U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) 2.6
10:00 Oct Exist. home sales % chg (%) -0.7 -3.4

Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant   |   Low   |   Moderate   |   Important   |   Very Important