Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Jan 01
8:30 Nov International trade mm $ (bl) -54.0 -55.5
10:00 Nov New home sales chg mm (%) 2.9 -8.9
10:00 Nov New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.560 0.544
10:00 Nov Construction spending (%) 0.2 -0.1
10:00 Nov Factory orders mm (%) 0.2 -2.1
10:00 Nov Factory ex-transp mm (% ) 0.3
10:00 Nov Durable goods, R mm (%) 0.8
10:00 Nov Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) -0.3
10:00 Nov Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) -0.6
10:00 Nov Durables ex-def, R mm (%) -0.1
10:00 Nov Wholesale sales mm (%) -0.1 -0.2
10:00 Nov Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.5
14:00 Dec Federal budget, $ (bl) -12.00 -205.00
Thursday, Jan 03
7:30 Dec Challenger layoffs (k) 43.884 53.073
8:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 219.0 236.9
8:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.84 4.86
8:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 729.9 816.0
8:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 293.8 321.2
8:15 Dec ADP National Employment (k) 271.0 178 179
9:45 Dec ISM-New York index 848.5 840.8
10:00 Dec ISM Manufacturing PMI 54.1 57.9 59.3
10:00 Dec ISM Mfg Prices Paid 54.9 58.0 60.7
15:30 Dec Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 17.55 17.20 17.49
15:30 Dec Domestic car sales (ml) 3.99 4.00 3.95
Friday, Jan 04
8:30 Dec Average earnings mm (%) +0.4 0.3 0.2
8:30 Dec Private Payrolls (k) +301 175 161
8:30 Dec Manufacturing payrolls (k) +32 20 27
8:30 Dec Non-farm payrolls (k) +312 177 155
8:30 Dec Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.5 34.5 34.4
8:30 Dec Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.9 3.7 3.7
Monday, Jan 07
10:00 Dec ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 59.9 64.0 65.2
10:00 Dec ISM N-Mfg PMI 57.6 59.0 60.7
10:00 Dec Employment Trends 111.6 110.4
Tuesday, Jan 08
8:30 Nov International trade mm $ (bl) -54.0 -55.5
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 38
15:00 Nov Consumer credit (bl) 22.15 17.50 25.38
Wednesday, Jan 09
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.74 4.84
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 987.9 729.9
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 362.7 293.8
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 255.2 219.0
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.680 -2.800 0.007
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 24
Thursday, Jan 10
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 216 220 231
10:00 Nov Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.5 0.7
10:00 Nov Wholesale sales mm (%) -0.1 -0.2
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 16
Friday, Jan 11
8:30 Dec Core CPI Year/Year (%) 2.2 2.2 2.2
8:30 Dec Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) 0.2 0.2 0.2
8:30 Dec CPI mm, sa (%) -0.1 -0.1 0.0
8:30 Dec CPI yy, nsa (%) 1.9 1.9 2.2
8:30 Dec Real weekly earnings mm (%) 0.7 0.3 -0.1
14:00 Dec Federal budget, $ (bl) -12.00 -205.00
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Jan 15
8:30 Dec Producer Prices (%) -0.2 -0.1 0.1
8:30 Dec Core Producer Prices MM (%) -0.1 0.2 0.3
8:30 Jan NY Fed Manufacturing 3.9 10.75 10.90
8:30 Dec Core Producer Prices YY (%) 2.7 2.9 2.7
Wednesday, Jan 16
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 411.8 362.7
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 278.5 255.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.74 4.74
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1172.4 987.9
8:30 Dec Retail Sales (%) 0.2 0.2
8:30 Dec Export prices mm (%) -0.6 -0.6 -0.9
8:30 Dec Import prices mm (%) -1.0 -1.3 -1.6
10:00 Jan NAHB housing market indx 58 56 56
10:00 Nov Business Inventories (% ) 0.3 0.6
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -2.683 -1.323 -1.680
Thursday, Jan 17
8:30 Dec Building permits: number (ml) 1.290 1.265
8:30 Dec Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.254 1.256
8:30 Dec Build permits: change mm (%) -0.4
8:30 Jan Philly Fed Business Index 17.0 10.0 9.4
8:30 Dec House starts mm: change (%) 3.2
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 213 220 216
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 13
Friday, Jan 18
9:15 Dec Capacity Utilization (%) 78.7 78.5 78.5
9:15 Dec Industrial Production (%) +0.3 0.2 0.6
10:00 Jan Consumer Sentiment 90.7 97.0 98.3
10:00 Jan 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.7 2.7
10:00 Jan 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.6 2.5
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Jan 22
10:00 Dec Existing home sales (ml) 5.24 5.32
10:00 Dec Exist. home sales % chg (%) -1.0 1.9
Wednesday, Jan 23
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 278.5
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1172.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 411.8
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.74
9:00 Nov Monthly Home Price yy (%) 5.7
9:00 Nov Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.3
Thursday, Jan 24
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 218 213
10:00 Dec Leading index chg mm (%) -0.1 0.2
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.323 -2.683
Friday, Jan 25
8:30 Dec Durable goods (%) 1.8 -4.3
8:30 Dec Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.2 0.0

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