Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Sep 05
9:45 Aug ISM-New York index 748.8 745.5
10:00 Jul Factory ex-transp mm (% ) +0.5 -0.2
10:00 Aug Employment Trends 134.62 133.8
10:00 Jul Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) +0.6 0.5
10:00 Jul Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) +1.0 0.4
10:00 Jul Durables ex-def, R mm (%) -7.8 -7.8
10:00 Jul Durable goods, R mm (%) -6.8 -6.8
10:00 Jul Factory orders mm (%) -3.3 -3.3 3.0
Wednesday, Sep 06
8:30 Jul International trade mm $ (bl) -43.7 -44.6 -43.6
10:00 Aug ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 57.5 56.0 55.9
10:00 Aug ISM N-Mfg PMI 55.3 55.4 53.9
Thursday, Sep 07
8:30 Q2 Productivity Revised (%) +1.5 1.3 0.9
8:30 Q2 Labor Costs Revised (%) +0.2 0.3 0.6
Friday, Sep 08
10:00 Jul Wholesale inventories mm (%) +0.6 0.4
10:00 Jul Wholesale sales mm (%) -0.1 0.4 0.7
15:00 Jul Consumer credit (bl) +18.50 15.10 12.40
Monday, Sep 11
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 24
Tuesday, Sep 12
11:30 52-Week Bill Auction (bl) 35
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 20
Wednesday, Sep 13
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 462.1 420.5
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1636.8 1502.6
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 252.0 227.3
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.03 4.06
8:30 Aug Producer Prices (%) 0.2 0.3 -0.1
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices YY (%) 2 2.1 1.8
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.1 0.2 -0.1
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -8.428 -2.050 -3.199
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 5.888 3.238 4.580
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -3.215 -1.537 -1.396
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 12
14:00 Aug Federal budget, $ (bl) -108 -119.50 -43
Thursday, Sep 14
8:30 Aug Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.2 0.2 0.1
8:30 Aug Core CPI Year/Year (%) +1.7 1.6 1.7
8:30 Aug CPI mm, sa (%) +0.4 0.3 0.1
8:30 Aug Real weekly earnings mm (%) -0.6 -0.2 0.2
8:30 Aug CPI yy, nsa (%) +1.9 1.8 1.7
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 284 300 298
Friday, Sep 15
8:30 Aug Retail Sales (%) -0.2 0.1 0.6
8:30 Aug Retail sales ex-autos mm (%) 0.2 0.5 0.5
8:30 Sep NY Fed Manufacturing 24.4 19.00 25.2
9:15 Aug Industrial Production (%) -0.9 0.1 0.2
9:15 Aug Capacity Utilization (%) 76.1 76.8 76.7
10:00 Jul Business Inventories (% ) 0.2 0.2 0.5
10:00 Sep Consumer Sentiment 95.3 95.1 96.8
10:00 Sep 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.7 2.6
10:00 Sep 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.6 2.5
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Sep 18
10:00 Sep NAHB housing market indx 64 67 68
Tuesday, Sep 19
8:30 Aug Build permits: change mm (%) +5.7 -3.5
8:30 Aug Building permits: number (ml) 1.300 1.220 1.23
8:30 Aug House starts mm: change (%) -0.8 -4.8
8:30 Aug Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.180 1.175 1.155
8:30 Q2 Current account (bl) -123.1 -115.1 -116.8
8:30 Aug Export prices mm (%) +0.6 0.2 0.4
8:30 Aug Import prices mm (%) +0.6 0.4 0.1
11:30 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) 35
Wednesday, Sep 20
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.04 4.03
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 417.5 462.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1497.8 1636.8
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 224.7 252.0
10:00 Aug Existing home sales (ml) 5.35 5.46 5.44
10:00 Aug Exist. home sales % chg (%) -1.7 0.3 -1.3
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -2.125 -2.135 -8.428
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 4.591 3.493 5.888
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -5.693 -1.633 -3.215
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.00-1.25 1.125 1.125
Thursday, Sep 21
8:30 Sep Philly Fed Business Index 17.2 18.9
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 300 284
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.5
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.1
10:00 Aug Leading index chg mm (%) 0.2 0.3
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 11
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Sep 26
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 5.8 5.7
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) 0.8 0.7
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.3 0.1
10:00 Sep Consumer confidence 120.6 122.9
10:00 Aug New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.574 0.571
10:00 Aug New home sales chg mm (%) 0.7 -9.4
Wednesday, Sep 27
8:30 Aug Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.4 1.0
8:30 Aug Durable goods (%) 1.5 -6.8
10:00 Aug Pending Sales Index 109.1
10:00 Aug Pending Home Sales (%) 0.2 -0.8
Thursday, Sep 28
8:30 Q2 GDP Final (%) 3.0 3.0
Friday, Sep 29
8:30 Aug Personal Income (%) 0.2 0.4
8:30 Aug Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.1 0.3
8:30 Aug PCE (y/y) (%) 1.4
8:30 Aug Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.1
8:30 Aug Core PCE (y/y) (%) 1.4
9:45 Sep Chicago PMI 58.2 58.9
10:00 Sep U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 96.0 95.3
10:00 Sep U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) 2.6
10:00 Sep U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) 2.7

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