Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Nov 28
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) 0.4 0.4
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 6.2 6.1 5.9
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.5 0.4 0.5
10:00 Nov Consumer confidence 129.5 124.0 125.9
Wednesday, Nov 29
8:30 Q3 GDP Prelim (%) 3.3 3.2 3.0
10:00 Oct Pending Sales Index 109.3 106.0
10:00 Oct Pending Home Sales (%) 3.5 1.0 0.0
Thursday, Nov 30
9:45 Nov Chicago PMI 63.9 63.0 66.2
Friday, Dec 01
10:00 Nov ISM Mfg Prices Paid 65.5 67.0 68.5
10:00 Nov ISM Manufacturing PMI 58.2 58.4 58.7
10:00 Oct Construction spending (%) 1.4 0.5 0.3
15:30 Nov All car sales (ml) 6.39 6.56
15:30 Nov Domestic car sales (ml) 4.70 4.69 4.75
15:30 Nov All truck sales (ml) 11.08 11.52
15:30 Nov Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 17.48 17.50 18.09
15:30 Nov Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.05 9.10 9.49
Monday, Dec 04
9:45 Nov ISM-New York index 753.5 749.4
10:00 Oct Factory ex-transp mm (% ) 0.8 0.7
10:00 Oct Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) 0.9 0.4
10:00 Oct Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) 0.3 -0.5
10:00 Oct Durable goods, R mm (%) -0.8 -1.2
10:00 Oct Durables ex-def, R mm (%) -0.4 -0.8
10:00 Oct Factory orders mm (%) -0.1 -0.4 1.4
Tuesday, Dec 05
8:30 Oct International trade mm $ (bl) -48.7 -47.5 -43.5
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg PMI 57.4 59.0 60.1
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 61.4 61.5 62.2
Wednesday, Dec 06
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 250.6 244.7
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1313.9 1205.1
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.19 4.20
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 408.3 390.0
8:15 Nov ADP National Employment (k) 190 185 235
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Revised (%) -0.2 0.2 0.5
8:30 Q3 Productivity Revised (%) 3.0 3.3 3.0
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 1.667 0.967 2.747
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 6.78 1.741 3.627
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -5.61 -3.404 -3.429
Thursday, Dec 07
7:30 Nov Challenger layoffs (k) 35.038 29.831
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 236 240 238
15:00 Oct Consumer credit (bl) 20.52 17.50 20.83
Friday, Dec 08
8:30 Nov Private Payrolls (k) 221 190 252
8:30 Nov Non-farm payrolls (k) 228 200 261
8:30 Nov Manufacturing payrolls (k) 31 17 24
8:30 Nov Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.5 34.4 34.4
8:30 Nov Average earnings mm (%) 0.2 0.3 0.0
8:30 Nov Unemployment rate mm (%) 4.1 4.1 4.1
10:00 Dec 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.8 2.5
10:00 Dec 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.4
10:00 Dec Consumer Sentiment 96.8 99.0 98.5
10:00 Oct Wholesale inventories mm (%) -0.5 -0.4 -0.4
10:00 Oct Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.7 0.8 1.3
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 11
10:00 Nov Employment Trends 135.88 135.6
11:30 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 24
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 20
Tuesday, Dec 12
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices MM (%) +0.3 0.2 0.4
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.4 2.3 2.4
8:30 Nov Producer Prices (%) +0.4 0.3 0.4
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 12
14:00 Nov Federal budget, $ (bl) -139 -134.00 -63.00
Wednesday, Dec 13
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 398.8 408.3
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 247.9 250.6
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1281.0 1313.9
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.20 4.19
8:30 Nov CPI mm, sa (%) +0.4 0.4 0.1
8:30 Nov Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.1 0.2 0.2
8:30 Nov CPI yy, nsa (%) +2.2 2.2 2.0
8:30 Nov Real weekly earnings mm (%) 0.1 0.0 -0.1
8:30 Nov Core CPI Year/Year (%) +1.7 1.8 1.8
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 5.664 2.457 6.780
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -1.37 0.902 1.667
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 1.667
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -5.117 -3.759 -5.610
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.375 1.375 1.125
Thursday, Dec 14
8:30 Nov Export prices mm (%) 0.2 0.0
8:30 Nov Retail Sales (%) 0.3 0.2
8:30 Nov Import prices mm (%) 0.7 0.2
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 239 236
10:00 Oct Business Inventories (% ) -0.1 0.0
Friday, Dec 15
8:30 Dec NY Fed Manufacturing 18.60 19.40
9:15 Nov Capacity Utilization (%) 77.2 77.0
9:15 Nov Industrial Production (%) 0.3 0.9
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 18
10:00 Dec NAHB housing market indx 70 70
Tuesday, Dec 19
8:30 Q3 Current account (bl) -118.0 -123.1
8:30 Nov Building permits: number (ml) 1.275 1.316
8:30 Nov Build permits: change mm (%) 7.4
8:30 Nov Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.230 1.290
8:30 Nov House starts mm: change (%) 13.7
Wednesday, Dec 20
10:00 Nov Existing home sales (ml) 5.52 5.48
10:00 Nov Exist. home sales % chg (%) 2.0
Thursday, Dec 21
8:30 Q3 GDP Final (%) 3.3 3.3
8:30 Dec Philly Fed Business Index 23.0 22.7
9:00 Oct Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.3
9:00 Oct Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.3
10:00 Nov Leading index chg mm (%) 0.3 1.2
Friday, Dec 22
8:30 Nov Personal Income (%) 0.4 0.4
8:30 Nov Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.3 0.3
8:30 Nov PCE (y/y) (%) 1.6
8:30 Nov Core PCE (y/y) (%) 1.4
8:30 Nov Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.2
8:30 Nov Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.3
8:30 Nov Durable goods (%) 1.6 -0.8
10:00 Nov New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.649 0.685
10:00 Dec U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) 2.8
10:00 Dec U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 97.0 96.8
10:00 Dec U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) 2.5
10:00 Nov New home sales chg mm (%) 6.2

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