Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Nov 27
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) +0.0 0.4 0.0
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) +5.1 5.3 5.5
9:00 Sep Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.0 6.1
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) +0.3 0.2 0.1
9:00 Sep Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.2 0.3
10:00 Nov Consumer confidence 135.7 135.9 137.9
Wednesday, Nov 28
8:30 Q3 GDP Prelim (%) 3.5 3.5 3.5
10:00 Oct New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.544 0.575 0.553
10:00 Oct New home sales chg mm (%) -8.9 3.7 -5.5
Thursday, Nov 29
10:00 Oct Pending Sales Index 102.1 104.6
10:00 Oct Pending Home Sales (%) -2.6 0.5 0.5
Friday, Nov 30
9:45 Nov Chicago PMI 66.4 58.0 58.4
Monday, Dec 03
10:00 Oct Construction spending (%) -0.1 0.4 0.0
10:00 Nov ISM Manufacturing PMI 59.3 57.6 57.7
10:00 Nov ISM Mfg Prices Paid 60.7 70.0 71.6
15:30 Nov All car sales (ml) 5.67
15:30 Nov All truck sales (ml) 11.90
15:30 Nov Domestic car sales (ml) 3.95 4.09 4.17
15:30 Nov Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.30 9.50
15:30 Nov Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 17.49 17.20 17.57
Tuesday, Dec 04
9:45 Nov ISM-New York index 840.8 831.9
Wednesday, Dec 05
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 249.9 247.8
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 836.4 787.7
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 340.5 333.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 5.08 5.12
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 1.333 -0.764
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 1.600 2.610
Thursday, Dec 06
7:30 Nov Challenger layoffs (k) 53.073 75.644
8:15 Nov ADP National Employment (k) 179 195 227
8:15 Nov ADP National Employment (k) 195 227
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Revised (%) 0.9 1.1 1.2
8:30 Q3 Productivity Revised (%) 2.3 2.3 2.2
8:30 Oct International trade mm $ (bl) -55.5 -55.0 -54.0
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 231 230 234
8:30 Q3 Productivity Revised (%) 2.3 2.2
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Revised (%) 1.1 1.2
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg PMI 60.7 59.2 60.3
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 65.2 62.0 62.5
10:00 Oct Factory ex-transp mm (% ) 0.3 0.4
10:00 Oct Durables ex-def, R mm (%) -1.1 -1.2
10:00 Oct Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) 0.0 0.0
10:00 Oct Durable goods, R mm (%) -4.3 -4.4
10:00 Oct Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) 0.2 0.1
10:00 Oct Factory orders mm (%) -2.1 -2.0 0.7
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 62.0 62.5
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg PMI 59.2 60.3
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -2.267 3.577
11:00 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 1.333 -0.764
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -7.323 -0.942 3.577
11:00 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 1.600 2.610
Friday, Dec 07
8:30 Nov Average earnings mm (%) 0.2 0.3 0.2
8:30 Nov Private Payrolls (k) 161 200 246
8:30 Nov Manufacturing payrolls (k) 27 20 32
8:30 Nov Non-farm payrolls (k) 155 200 250
8:30 Nov Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.5 34.5
8:30 Nov Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.7 3.7 3.7
10:00 Dec 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.7 2.8
10:00 Oct Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.8 0.7 0.7
10:00 Dec Consumer Sentiment 97.5 97.0 97.5
10:00 Dec 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.4 2.6
10:00 Oct Wholesale sales mm (%) -0.2 0.3 0.2
15:00 Oct Consumer credit (bl) 25.38 15.00 10.92
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 10
10:00 Nov Employment Trends 110.4 110.7
Tuesday, Dec 11
8:30 Nov Producer Prices (%) +0.1 0.0 0.6
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices MM (%) +0.3 0.1 0.5
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.7 2.5 2.6
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 38
Wednesday, Dec 12
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 851.6 836.4
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.96 5.08
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 346.0 340.5
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 256.1 249.9
8:30 Nov Core CPI Year/Year (%) +2.2 2.2 2.1
8:30 Nov CPI mm, sa (%) 0.0 0.0 0.3
8:30 Nov Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.2 0.2 0.2
8:30 Nov CPI yy, nsa (%) +2.2 2.2 2.5
8:30 Nov Real weekly earnings mm (%) -0.1 0.3 0.1
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.208 -2.990 -7.323
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 24
14:00 Nov Federal budget, $ (bl) -188.00 -100.00
Thursday, Dec 13
8:30 Nov Export prices mm (%) -0.9 -0.1 0.4
8:30 Nov Import prices mm (%) -1.6 -0.9 0.5
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 206 225 231
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 16
14:00 Nov Federal budget, $ (bl) -188.00 -100.00
Friday, Dec 14
8:30 Nov Retail Sales (%) 0.2 0.8
9:15 Nov Capacity Utilization (%) 78.6 78.4
9:15 Nov Industrial Production (%) 0.3 0.1
10:00 Oct Business Inventories (% ) 0.6 0.3
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 17
8:30 Dec NY Fed Manufacturing 21.50 23.30
10:00 Dec NAHB housing market indx 60 60
Tuesday, Dec 18
8:30 Nov House starts mm: change (%) 1.5
8:30 Nov Build permits: change mm (%) -0.4
8:30 Nov Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.234 1.228
8:30 Nov Building permits: number (ml) 1.265 1.265
Wednesday, Dec 19
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 256.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 851.6
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 346.0
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.96
8:30 Q3 Current account (bl) -122.2 -101.5
10:00 Nov Exist. home sales % chg (%) -0.5 1.4
10:00 Nov Existing home sales (ml) 5.15 5.22
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 2.125 2.125
Thursday, Dec 20
8:30 Dec Philly Fed Business Index 12.0 12.9
10:00 Nov Leading index chg mm (%) 0.1 0.1
Friday, Dec 21
8:30 Q3 GDP Final (%) 3.5 3.5
8:30 Nov Durable goods (%) 1.2 -4.3
8:30 Nov Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.1 0.0
10:00 Nov Personal Income (%) 0.3 0.5
10:00 Nov PCE (y/y) (%) 2.0
10:00 Nov Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.3 0.6
10:00 Nov Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.1
10:00 Nov Core PCE (y/y) (%) 1.9 1.8
10:00 Dec U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 97.4 97.5
10:00 Dec U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) 2.7
10:00 Dec U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) 2.4

Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant   |   Low   |   Moderate   |   Important   |   Very Important